What Happened In The Market Today…28 Jan 09

Posted by Stock Online Trader in Market News on 01-28-2009

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stock-market

What’s Happening In The Market Now…

  • Stocks jumped up at the open this morning.
  • Investors appear to be looking to the massive government spending to jolt the economy out of a yearlong recession that is the most severe in decades.
  • Investors think the Federal Reserve is all but certain to leave its federal funds rate at a record low to try to help the economy by making it cheaper to borrow money.
  • The Fed is also trying provide relief for homeowners nearing foreclosure with programs which could lower the amount the homeowner owes on the mortgage, reduce the interest rate or lengthening the term of the loan.
  • Sectors starting the day out strong include banks, life & health insurance and financial services while electronic manufacturing services, gold and integrated telecom are down.
  • Volume leaders include Wells Fargo and Company (WFC), EMC Corp (EMC), United States Oil Fund LP (USO), Wyeth (WYE) and Research In Motion Ltd (RIMM).

Stocks Most Watched Today
Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), J. C. Penney Company, Inc (JCP), Marriott International, Inc. (MAR), Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL), Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corp. (NTT), Praxair Inc (PX), Monsanto Co (MON), Dell Inc (DELL), Juniper Networks Inc (JNPR), Deere and Co (DE), Genuine Parts Co (GPC), Illinois Tool Works Inc (ITW), Ciena Corporation New (CIEN), Newmont Mining Corp Holding Co (NEM) and Novartis ADR (NVS).

Today’s News Leaders…
Wells Fargo and Company (WFC), Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL), Dell Inc (DELL), Newmont Mining Corp Holding Co (NEM) and Novartis AG (NVS) top the lists of companies with news today.

Analysts Favorites…
Research in Motion (RIMM), Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT), Clorox Co (CLX), Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) and Netflix Inc (NFLX). Click on one of the tickers to find out the details on these stocks.

ETFs and HOLDRs Covered Today…
iShares Dow Jones US Finance Sector Index Fund (IYF), iShares Russell 1000 Index Fund (IWB), SPDR KBW Bank (KBE), ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) and Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX). Click on one of the tickers to find out the details on these stocks.

Tip of the Day…
Try to build Flexibility into your portfolio. Keep a spreadsheet and make notes on why you made all your investment decisions along with the characteristics of the stocks and trades. Try to find what works then do more of the same.

Source: MarketIntelligenceCenter.com

FDIC May Run “Bad Bank”

Posted by Stock Online Trader in Economy, Finance Sector on 01-28-2009

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Bloomberg has an article on: FDIC may run Bad Banks

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. may manage the so-called bad bank that the Obama administration is likely to set up as it tries to break the back of the credit crisis.

U.S. stocks gained, extending a global rally, on optimism the bad-bank plan will help shore up the economy. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index rose 2.4 percent, Bank of America Corp., down 54 percent this year before today, rose 15 percent. Citigroup Inc., which had fallen 47 percent this year, climbed 18 percent.

FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair is pushing to run the operation, which would buy the toxic assets clogging banks’ balance sheets.

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The government will likely use its ownership of toxic assets to rework soured mortgages and prevent foreclosures.

The bad-bank initiative may allow the government to rewrite some of the mortgages that underpin banks’ bad debt, in the hopes of stemming a crisis that has stripped more than 1.3 million Americans of their homes. Some lenders may be taken over by regulators and some management teams could be ousted as the government seeks to provide a shield to taxpayers.

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Still, nationalization of a swath of the banking industry is unlikely. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank said yesterday “the government should not take over all the banks.” Bair said earlier this month she would be “very surprised if that happened.”

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Obama is under increasing pressure to drastically revamp the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program for the ailing industry. While setting up a bank to buy underwater assets is emerging as a favored approach, it could drive up the cost of the rescue in excess of $1 trillion.

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Billionaire investor George Soros said in Davos today the plan to buy toxic assets won’t be enough to get financial institutions to start lending again. “It’s not the measure that would turn the situation around and enable the banks to lend. You are nationalizing the debt and keeping the upside in private hands.”

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A key question for the bad bank would be how to value the toxic assets it would buy. Geithner, outlined three possible alternatives: look at how the market is pricing similar assets; use computer model-based estimates from independent firms; and seek the judgment of bank supervisors.

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Bair has said that cash from the TARP may help capitalize the bad bank and that commercial lenders may kick in some money of their own. One possibility that’s been discussed is issuing firms some kind of stock in the new organization as partial payment for their impaired assets.

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The financial sector stocks and ETFs are taking off today. Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) is up 11% today. WellsFargo is up 25%, Citi is up 17% and Bank of America is up 15%. These are mind-blowing returns for a day. The question is how long will this rally continue ? Again and again we have seen these rallies fizzle out.

Are Stocks Undervalued Right Now ?

Posted by Stock Online Trader in Fundamental Analysis, Index on 01-28-2009

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In 2008, the U.S. stock market went from gangbusters to just plain busted: The world’s most watched equity index, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, plummeted 30%, while the S&P 500 plunged 45% to an 11-year low. All in all, it was the most severe annual loss for both indexes since the Great Depression. Does it mean that the stock market is under valued ? Is this the best time to load up stocks ?

chart-20090126-nico
As you can see, present stock market valuations are nowhere near the underrated levels reached in 1932, at the end of the Great Depression. Not only that, they still stand well above the “Normal Range” of valuation seen during the bulk of the market’s existence.
Make no mistake: No matter how powerful and persistent the bear market rallies are from this point forward, this is still very much a bear market.

Source: Elliott Wave