Potential Short Plays Even Though Dow Plunge To 1997 Levels

Posted by Stock Online Trader in Gold, Real Estate, Stock Picks, Technical Analysis, Technology Sector on 02-24-2009

ZN is an oil and gas stock that has pretty much gone up exponentially. Today it popped 22% on high volume. This is obviously bad news for early shorts. Wait for the volume to dry out which indicates decreasing buying power. Once the early longs dump this stock the shorts will take control and ZN will probably drop back to $9.00 levels and eventually $6.00 from where it took off. Keep watching !!

zn

TRE is a Canada-based exploration-stage company. The Company is engaged in the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties, including the optioning out of properties for pre-production option payments and royalties on future gold production. As dollar loses its worth, investors find safe-haven in gold. They have pushed gold prices above $1000 recently which caused gold sector stocks like TRE to start rising. No stock moves in one-direction forever. Continous buying will eventually be met with selling and vice-versa. TRE is one such stock that needs a breather providing quick shorting opportunity. RSI is above 70+ which indicates overbought conditions.

Be careful though, since it broke out of its $4.50 resistance.

tre

ANDS is a biopharmaceutical company focused to develop medicines in the areas of hepatitis C and oncology. This stock has run up from $2.00 to $8.00 in matter of a month. The volume is drying out and some initial selling has began. I will keep monitoring it for an ideal setup to short into.

CAB is a direct marketer and a specialty retailer of hunting, fishing, camping and related outdoor merchandise. CAB has shot up huge on positive earnings. This pop was sold into today. Today it broke the 8.00$ mark on the downside which probably is a moral victory for shorts. Will the selling continue ?

MYL is a global pharmaceutical company that develops, licenses, manufactures, markets and distributes generic, brand and branded generic pharmaceutical products and active pharmaceutical ingredients. MYL is another bio-tech stock that keeps going higher and higher. However this stock hasnt run up like ARNA or ANDS. This has been a slow and steady mover. Provides good scalping opportunity. RSI and MFI indicates overbought levels.

MFN is in the business of mining, development and exploration of precious and base metal properties. Interests in these properties are held directly and indirectly and through leases, options and working interests. MFN is reaching its 200dma at $7.00. This will provide a strong resistance. Potential short below the 200 dma. Stop loss on break of 200 dma on the upside. RSI over 70, points to overbought levels.

mfn

GEOY popped up 16%, as it announced that the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency notified the Company that imagery from the GeoEye-1 satellite has been certified as meeting their stringent requirements for quality, accuracy and resolution. GeoEye is now delivering GeoEye-1 sub-half-meter ground resolution satellite imagery to the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. However this pop will eventually be sold into. Keep watching.

HPQ sold off heavily recently, falling 16% in the last 5 days. Previous bottom was $28.17 which should now provide first strong support level. RSI is way below 30, indicating oversold conditions. HPQ looks due for a bounce. Potential long play above the previous bottom. However if it breaches the previous bottom, this stock could make new lows. Stop below $28.00

hpq

Few other potential long plays are INTC, MCD, JNJ and FRO. All of these are in oversold territory.

Why Charts Are Your Best Friend

Posted by Stock Online Trader in Basic Material Sector, Gold, Technical Analysis, Technology Sector on 09-10-2008

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Yesterday I loaded up KGC and RIO. Special thanks to dumb-ass Cramer for his predictions.

KGC up 5.8% for the day. Surprizingly gold is down to 759$ level.

RIO up 5.3% for the day. Lets see if it was a dead-cat bounce or time for some reversal.

Both were over-sold and due for the bounce and that is exactly what happened. I sold both of them today for a sweet 1-day profit. Can’t complain.

Today i bought the internet-giant Google at the close ($414.40). 5 day chart shows 11% drop. Time for reversal ??

GOOG chart tell an interesting story. Previously Google bottomed at 412$ in mid-March. Can this be the double bottom ? I think so. With such lower RSI and Stochs, Google makes up for a safer bet. However if Google can’t hold 400$, it could drop even furthur. I would put my stop loss at $399.

Cramer Predicts Commodities To Drop: Bullish Signal

Posted by Stock Online Trader in Basic Material Sector, Emerging Markets, Gold on 09-09-2008

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Cramer predicted a worst-case scenario for these names: They could lose all the gains they’ve seen since April 2005. That means Vale [RIO 20.96] drops 68%; U.S. Steel [X 93.69] 50%; fertilizer stocks like Potash [POT 140.26], Mosaic [MOS 77.01] and Agrium [AGU 66.65] could fall 80% to 90%. But this is only if you believe that the rise of these stocks was due solely to the increased value of commodities and not any growth by the companies themselves, he said.

So what’s it going to take to stop this? The world’s central banks – U.S., Europe, even China – have to cut interest rates. Industry consolidation would help, too. A rate cut in China might revive that country’s appetite for commodities, and that would mean investors would be getting a great discount on all these stocks right now.

If China doesn’t come back, Cramer said, “the commodity collapse has the potential to bring down the whole market.”

Cramer is one of those CNBC clowns that almost everytime get it wrong. If Cramer thinks the commodities are going down, its a bullish sign. I bought RIO today at 21.09$ and KGC at 12.01$ hoping to see a turnaround soon. Both RIO and KGC have been hammered lately and provide much safer bet to go long.

5 day chart for RIO shows 17% drop. Is the pain over ? No one knows. The trend is definitely going lower, but I believe its time for some bounce back.

6 month trend shows RIO bleeding…..no end in sight…..can that trend change ??

As for KGC, gold is going through a huge correction. Market manipulation has lead to jump in the dollar. Upward movement of the dollar looks short-lived, driven due to lower oil prices and Freddie/Fannie news bringing in global investors. Hurricane season and world politics can easily send the oil prices roaring upwards. Housing has not bottomed. Inventory levels are still high. Job losses make it even more difficult. Foreclosures are still reaching record high levels. This can turnaround in a flash causing dollar to take a dump and gold to go higher.

6 month trend of KGC looks ugly too. It has experienced huge price drops. Is this the bottom ?